UNC is only slightly overrated ;-)
Sorry for the lack of posts for the past couple of months, but if you've followed this blog over the years you'll know that isn't uncommon during summer. Also, I have a pretty good excuse as I've been working diligently on
statsheet.com.
Speaking of StatSheet, I recently finished reworking the
College Basketball Rankings section. I created several reports
analyzing the AP Poll.
One that I found particularly interesting is the
Overrated Teams report. In it I calculate the teams that have historically been ranked lower in the Final AP Poll compared to where they started the season. It turns out that UNC is only slightly overrated ;-) In fact, we don't even show up on the list since 2000. Since 1990, we finished the season ranked lower 8 times out of 17. Which means we were ranked higher or finished at the same rank 9 out of 17 seasons. We are #12 on the list since 1990.
Other notable ACC teams? Georgia Tech, Maryland, Duke and NC State make the cut for some of the time periods, but none, with the exception of Georgia Tech, are consistently overrated.
Then there are the
underrated teams. To my surprise Boston College and Wake Forest are consistently underrated.
